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Oil Markets Begin to Improve After a Month of Historic Lows

The International Energy Agency (IEA) in its monthly brief, report that mobility still remains limited for many citizens, businesses are starting to reopen gradually and people are returning to work, which will provide a boost to oil demand.
18 May 2020 12:39
A busy Kampala's Old taxi Park before the COVID-19 Outbreak. Most of the vehichles have not been on the road due to the lockdwon Credit Wambi Michael

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A gradual relaxation of restrictions on movement after COVID-19 lockdowns has seen the early signs of gradual rebalancing of global oil markets.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) in its monthly brief, report that mobility still remains limited for many citizens, businesses are starting to reopen gradually and people are returning to work, which will provide a boost to oil demand. IEA's Chief Energy Modeller, Laura Cozzi says the cut in energy use during the COVID-19 lockdown is really unprecedented.

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What is being witnessed according to Laura Cozzi is bigger than what was witnessed during the 2008/9 global financial crisis and the previous oil shocks in the ’70s. She says by the end of April, there was a contraction of global energy use by almost three per cent.

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The transport sector was equally hit hard The International Energy Agency predicts that the gradual relaxation of restrictions on movement is helping demand. It estimates that from a recent peak of 4 billion, the number of people living under some form of confinement at the end of May will drop to about 2.8 billion worldwide.

The Agency notes that while mobility still remains limited for many citizens, businesses are starting to reopen gradually and people are returning to work, which will provide a boost to oil demand, though a modest percentage at first.

Countries like Uganda are hoping for a rebound in global oil prices especially as the country prepares for the next round of oil fields bids and as oil companies prepare for the Final Investments Decision(FID)  

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